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 short term prediction


Short term prediction of Atrial Fibrillation from ambulatory monitoring ECG using a deep neural network

#artificialintelligence

Atrial fibrillation (AF) is associated with significant morbidity but remains underdiagnosed. We hypothesize a deep learning model can identify patients at risk of AF in the 2 weeks following a 24-hour ambulatory ECG with no documented AF. We identified a training set of Holter recordings of 7 to 15 days duration, in which no AF could be found in the first 24 h. We trained a neural network to predict the presence or absence of AF in the 15 following days, using only the first 24 h of the recording. We evaluated the neural network on a testing set and an external dataset not used during algorithm development.


Predicting Electricity Consumption using Deep Recurrent Neural Networks

Nugaliyadde, Anupiya, Somaratne, Upeka, Wong, Kok Wai

arXiv.org Machine Learning

Electricity consumption has increased exponentially during the past few decades. This increase is heavily burdening the electricity distributors. Therefore, predicting the future demand for electricity consumption will provide an upper hand to the electricity distributor. Predicting electricity consumption requires many parameters. The paper presents two approaches with one using a Recurrent Neural Network (RNN) and another one using a Long Short Term Memory (LSTM) network, which only considers the previous electricity consumption to predict the future electricity consumption. These models were tested on the publicly available London smart meter dataset. To assess the applicability of the RNN and the LSTM network to predict electricity consumption, they were tested to predict for an individual house and a block of houses for a given time period. The predictions were done for daily, trimester and 13 months, which covers short term, mid-term and long term prediction. Both the RNN and the LSTM network have achieved an average Root Mean Square error of 0.1.


Combined Neural Networks for Time Series Analysis

Ginzburg, Iris, Horn, David

Neural Information Processing Systems

We propose a method for improving the performance of any network designedto predict the next value of a time series. Vve advocate analyzing the deviations of the network's predictions from the data in the training set. This can be carried out by a secondary network trainedon the time series of these residuals. The combined system of the two networks is viewed as the new predictor. We demonstrate the simplicity and success of this method, by applying itto the sunspots data. The small corrections of the secondary network can be regarded as resulting from a Taylor expansion of a complex network which includes the combined system.


Combined Neural Networks for Time Series Analysis

Ginzburg, Iris, Horn, David

Neural Information Processing Systems

We propose a method for improving the performance of any network designed to predict the next value of a time series. Vve advocate analyzing the deviations of the network's predictions from the data in the training set. This can be carried out by a secondary network trained on the time series of these residuals. The combined system of the two networks is viewed as the new predictor. We demonstrate the simplicity and success of this method, by applying it to the sunspots data. The small corrections of the secondary network can be regarded as resulting from a Taylor expansion of a complex network which includes the combined system.


Combined Neural Networks for Time Series Analysis

Ginzburg, Iris, Horn, David

Neural Information Processing Systems

We propose a method for improving the performance of any network designed to predict the next value of a time series. Vve advocate analyzing the deviations of the network's predictions from the data in the training set. This can be carried out by a secondary network trained on the time series of these residuals. The combined system of the two networks is viewed as the new predictor. We demonstrate the simplicity and success of this method, by applying it to the sunspots data. The small corrections of the secondary network can be regarded as resulting from a Taylor expansion of a complex network which includes the combined system.